6
GDP Comparison
Sources: IMF, World Bank, Samba forecasts
• To highlight the refining mismatch, this chart shows the monthly price discount for Arab Heavy offered by Saudi Arabia to North American buyers.
•  The movement down by the line reflects an increasing discount.  For October, Saudi Arabia is selling Arab Heavy for $13.40 less than the price for WTI.
•   Note that while Saudi Arabia steepened the discounts sharply early this year, they had been drifting downward over the past several years as this grade of crude has been less sought by refiners
• What really is super tight is not the global crude oil market in general, but the global market for light sweet crudes, and this is what is driving price.